State Senator - District No. 3
State Senate District 3; Arizona
My vote power
Above average
Election date
July 21, 2026 · Primary election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 65 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 240,816 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 240,816) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.82, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Above average representation → My vote power: Above average.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Jeffrey Fortney
AdvancedDemocratic · advanced
Jeffrey Fortney moved to Arizona from the Chicago suburbs in 1999 and left a twenty-plus year career in computer programming to become a special education teacher, earning his bachelor's degree in 2004. He continues to teach 7th through 12th graders.
John Kavanagh
AdvancedRepublican · Incumbent · advanced
John Kavanagh is a professor of criminal justice at Scottsdale Community College and director of the college's Administration of Justice program. Born in New York City, he lives in Fountain Hills and has served in the Arizona Legislature since 2007.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, 15 against, Public Safety and Crime Control 13 for, 2 against, Election Integrity 9 for, 1 against,
Robert Michael Wallace
Did not advanceRepublican · lost
Robert Wallace was born in Jackson, Michigan, the city where citizens gathered in 1854 to launch the Republican Party and take a public stand against slavery. He says that history left its mark on how he leads today.
Results
Advanced · Certified
Winners: Jeffrey Fortney (Democratic), John Kavanagh (Republican)
Source: cdn1.arizona.vote · researched September 12, 2026