Governor and Lieutenant Governor
August 18, 2026 · Florida · Statewide · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 13 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 22,416,077 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 22,416,077) ÷ ln(39,287,377 ÷ 582,397) = 13.32, comparing all statewide districts nationwide (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
Governor is responsible for:
- Running the state government and its agencies
- Proposing the state budget
- Signing state bills into law, or vetoing them
- Appointing state officials and, in many states, judges
- Commanding the state National Guard during emergencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
Republican · declared
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey is a Republican who qualified for Florida's 2026 primary election for Governor.
Bobby Williams
Republican · declared
Bobby Williams is a Republican candidate for Governor of Florida in the 2026 primary election.
Byron Donalds
Republican · declared
Byron Donalds is a Republican 2026 candidate for Governor of Florida, endorsed by President Trump. He represents Florida in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Records: Data Privacy 1 for, Environment and Public Health 1 for, Government Efficiency 1 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 for, Gun Control 1 against, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 2 for
Caneste Succe
Republican · declared
Caneste Succe is a Republican candidate for Governor of Florida in the 2026 primary election.
Daniel Nokovich
Republican · declared
Daniel Nokovich is a Republican candidate for Governor of Florida in the 2026 primary election.
David Jolly
Democratic · declared
David Jolly is a Democratic 2026 candidate for Governor of Florida and a former U.S. Representative.
Records: Anti-Corruption 3 for, 1 against, Environment and Public Health 2 for, 1 against, Gun Control 1 against, Healthcare Affordability 1 against, Housing Affordability 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 for
Dayna Marie Foster
Democratic · declared
Dayna Marie Foster is a Fort Lauderdale educator and community advocate. She worked in the Broward County library system, taught high school mathematics in Broward County public schools, and serves as a Young Adult Voices advocate. She earned finance degrees from Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University and a Master of Science in Information from Florida State University.
Dotie Joseph
Democratic · declared
Dotie Joseph is an attorney and Democratic Florida state representative for House District 108. Elected in 2018, she previously served as Minority Leader pro tempore from 2022 to 2024. She earned degrees from Yale College and Georgetown University Law Center and is running in Florida's 2026 Democratic primary for Governor.
Records: Data Privacy 1 for, Gun Control 1 for, Healthcare Affordability 3 for, Housing Affordability 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 for
Evelyn Castillo-Bach
Democratic · declared
Evelyn Castillo-Bach is the executive director of the Balanced Justice Network and a Pembroke Pines resident. Born and raised in New York City, she studied cultural anthropology and biomedical sciences as an undergraduate and earned a Master of Science from Columbia University's Graduate School of Journalism. She is running for Governor of Florida as a Democrat.
Records: Anti-Corruption 1 for, Civil Rights 2 for, Data Privacy 1 for
James Fishback
Republican · declared
James Fishback is a Republican 2026 candidate for Governor of Florida, an investment firm executive.
James W. Shaw
Republican · declared
James W. Shaw is a Republican candidate for Governor of Florida in the 2026 primary election.
Jay Collins
Republican · declared
Jay Collins is a Republican 2026 candidate for Governor of Florida. He serves as Lieutenant Governor of Florida and previously as a state senator; he is a U.S. Army veteran.
Records: Anti-Corruption 1 against, Data Privacy 1 for, Gun Control 1 against, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 8 for, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 against
Jerry Demings
Democratic · declared
Jerry Demings is a Democratic 2026 candidate for Governor of Florida. He serves as Mayor of Orange County and previously as county sheriff.
Jim Holcomb
Republican · declared
Jim Holcomb is a retired Orlando firefighter, former exceptional-student-education teacher, and home builder. His campaign biography says he served as an Orlando firefighter from 1974 through 2004, taught in Mount Dora from 2005 through 2013, earned a bachelor's degree from the University of Central Florida in 1974 and a master's degree from National Louis University in 2010, and previously ran for local office. Florida election records show he filed but did not qualify for state House District 32 in 2022 and qualified for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary.
Records: Anti-Corruption 1 for, Civil Rights 1 for, Government Efficiency 1 for
Paul Renner
Republican · declared
Paul Renner is a Republican candidate for Governor of Florida in the 2026 election. He served as Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives from 2022 through 2024 and was a member of the Florida Board of Governors from April 2025 through January 2026.
Rachel Rodriguez
Republican · declared
Rachel Rodriguez is a Republican attorney and candidate for Governor of Florida in the 2026 primary election.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for
Stephann Norman
Democratic · declared
Stephann Norman is a Tampa-area Democratic candidate who qualified for Florida's 2026 primary for Governor. Her campaign biography says she earned a bachelor's degree in business management from American InterContinental University Online and has worked in customer service and caregiving.
Thomas Eloy Fernandez
Democratic · declared
Thomas Eloy Fernandez is a Homestead resident who qualified for Florida's 2026 Democratic primary for Governor.
Election sources
Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com
Source: dos.fl.gov