United States Senator
Texas
My vote power
Average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Average · 50 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 30,188,424 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(30,188,424 ÷ 30,188,424) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in TX (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Average · rated competitive as of August 19, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Lean Republican" (d=3) + Sabato "Leans Republican" (d=3) → mean 3 → "competitive" → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Average.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Confirming federal judges and Supreme Court justices
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Independent · declared
Jade Simmons is a concert pianist, author, educator, speaker, and business owner.
Democratic · declared
James Talarico is a former public-school teacher who has served in the Texas House since 2019 and currently represents District 50. His U.S. Senate campaign priorities include public education, health care, cost of living, government ethics, and immigration and border security.
Records: Civil Rights 5 for, Anti-Corruption 2 for, Environment and Public Health 2 for,
Republican · declared
Ken Paxton has served as Texas attorney general since 2015, after serving in the Texas House and Texas Senate. His official record emphasizes litigation defending Texas laws and challenging federal policies, along with consumer protection, child-support enforcement, and anti-trafficking work.
Records: Corporate Accountability 7 for, Anti-Corruption 1 for, 4 against, Civil Rights 4 against,
Libertarian · declared
Ted Brown is the Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate from Texas in the 2026 general election.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for
Sources: sos.state.tx.us2