State Representative
State House District 15; Alaska
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
The State Representative general election in State House District 15; Alaska is on November 3, 2026. 2 candidates are running: Denny Wells (Registered Democrat) and Mia Costello (Registered Republican). Mia Costello is the incumbent. One vote here carries high weight compared with other races.
How do we calculate my vote power?
What determines the vote power rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus whether more candidates are running than there are seats.
Representation: High · 66 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 19,191 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(735,706 ÷ 19,191) ÷ ln(50,000) = 66.85, measured against a statewide vote in AK (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
High representation → My vote power: High.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
What does this office do?
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Who is running?
Registered Democrat
Denny Wells is an Anchorage small-business owner and former oil industry worker with a math degree from UAF who served in the Peace Corps. He lists education, fiscal responsibility, safe neighborhoods, and affordable energy as priorities.
Records: Election Integrity 1 for
Registered Republican · Incumbent
Mia Costello is a former teacher and public relations executive who served in the Alaska Legislature from 2011 to 2022, including as Senate majority leader, and again since 2025. She lists public safety, economic growth, and protecting the Permanent Fund as priorities.
Records: Public Education Quality 3 for, 1 against, Corporate Accountability 1 for, 2 against, Anti-Corruption 1 for, 1 against,
Source: elections.alaska.gov
Last updated September 24, 2026.