State Representative, District 2
State House District 2; Arizona
My vote power
Above average
Election date
July 21, 2026 · Primary election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 65 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 253,802 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 253,802) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.57, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Above average representation → My vote power: Above average.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Justin Wilmeth
AdvancedRepublican · declared
Justin Wilmeth is the Republican incumbent in Arizona House District 2, first elected in 2022. An Arizona State University graduate who has worked in communications andpolicy advising, he touts a bipartisan record of bills signed into law. He is running in the July 2026 primary for re-election.
Records: Government Efficiency 3 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 against, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Republican · declared
Kenneth Laird is a Republican candidate in the July 2026 primary for Arizona House of Representatives District 2.
Republican · declared
Paul Carver is president of the Deer Valley Unified School District governing board, a Marine Corps veteran and an MBA graduate. He is a Republican candidate for Arizona House District 2 and prioritizes fiscal responsibility, academic achievement and transparency.
Stephanie Simacek
AdvancedDemocratic · declared
Stephanie Simacek is the Democratic incumbent in Arizona House District 2, first elected in 2024 and seated in January 2025. A former first-grade teacher, she also serves on the Deer Valley Unified School District governing board. She is running in the July 2026 primary for re-election.
Records: Public Education Quality 2 for
Results
Advanced · Certified
Winners: Stephanie Simacek (Democratic), Justin Wilmeth (Republican), Danielle Skranak (Republican)
Source: elections.maricopa.gov · researched September 12, 2026
Source: ballotpedia.org