United States Representative, Congressional District 40
Congressional District 40 (119th Congress), California
My vote power
Average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 68 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 753,713 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 753,713) ÷ ln(50,000) = 68.27, measured against a statewide vote in CA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Solid Republican" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
High representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Average.
The current race rating comes from a single analyst source, so it is less certain.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · declared
U.S. Representative for California's 41st District and a senior member of the House Appropriations Committee, serving on its Defense and Energy and Water subcommittees. He previously served in the California State Assembly.
Records: Environment and Public Health 6 for, 72 against, Immigration 32 against, Government Spending Reduction 6 for, 15 against,
Republican · Incumbent · declared
U.S. Representative for California's 40th District and Chair of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on East Asia and the Pacific. She also serves on the Financial Services Committee and previously served in the California State Assembly.
Records: Environment and Public Health 9 for, 70 against, Immigration 31 against, Civil Rights 7 for, 14 against,