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State Senator, District 34

November 3, 2026 · State Senate District 34; California · State senate district · general

Vote impact: High
How do we calculate vote impact?

Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).

Representation: High · 81 out of 100

Smaller districts give each vote more weight, and this district is small for its type. About 939,589 people live here.

score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,046,386 ÷ 939,589) ÷ ln(1,046,386 ÷ 916,831) = 81.45, comparing state senate districts in CA (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)

Decisiveness: Unknown

No past results for this contest yet.

High representation + unknown decisiveness → High vote impact.

Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".

State Senator is responsible for:

  • Voting on state laws and the state budget
  • Representing their district in the state senate
  • Confirming certain governor appointments in many states
  • Helping district residents deal with state agencies

Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure

Candidates

Avelino Valencia

Democratic · declared

Avelino Valencia is the Democratic nominee for California's 34th State Senate District (Orange County — Anaheim area) in the 2026 general election for the open seat, facing Republican Rhonda Shader. He currently serves in the California State Assembly (District 68) and previously served on the Anaheim City Council; he authored a 2024 consumer-privacy law on merger opt-out rights.

Records: Data Privacy 1 for

Rhonda Shader

Republican · declared

Rhonda Shader is the Republican nominee for California's 34th State Senate District (Orange County) in the 2026 general election for the open seat, facing Democrat Avelino Valencia. First elected to the Placentia City Council in 2016, she served two terms as Mayor of Placentia and launched the city's first independent fire department.

Election sources

Source: ballotpedia.org