State Senator, District 4
State Senate District 4; California
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 66 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 1,043,919 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 1,043,919) ÷ ln(50,000) = 66.77, measured against a statewide vote in CA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
High representation → My vote power: High.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · declared
Alexandra Duarte is a Modesto almond and walnut farmer making her first run for office. She campaigns on water policy and on support for agriculture, including reducing regulation on rural communities.
Democratic · declared
Jaron Brandon has served on the Tuolumne County Board of Supervisors since 2020, elected at 26 as California's youngest county supervisor. A Sonora native and UC Merced graduate, he has focused on housing, broadband, and behavioral health.
Records: Housing Affordability 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Sources: dp.electionresults.sos.ca.gov · calmatters.org