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State Representative, District 16

State House District 16; Arizona

My vote power

Normal

Election date

July 21, 2026 · Primary election

How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Normal · 65 out of 100

This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 261,084 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 261,084) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.44, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Unknown

No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.

Normal representation → My vote power: Normal.

Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.

About this office

  • Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
  • Voting on how much money your local public schools get
  • Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Republican · Incumbent · declared

Chris Lopez is a Republican Arizona state representative for District 16. His campaign biography identifies him as a Casa Grande native and small-business owner, and an Arizona House release confirms his current legislative service.

Records: Civil Rights 4 for, 11 against, Public Safety and Crime Control 10 for, 3 against, Election Integrity 9 for, 1 against,

Democratic · declared

Julia Romero Gusse is a Democratic candidate for Arizona House District 16, a U.S. Air Force veteran, and a former Maricopa city councilmember. Her campaign biography describes a career supporting veterans and local communities.

Republican · Incumbent · declared

Teresa Martinez was born and raised in Casa Grande in Pinal County, the oldest of five children of a miner at the San Manuel Mine, and is a single mom. She has held multiple positions for two Members of Congress and for a former Arizona Secretary of State.

Records: Public Safety and Crime Control 11 for, 3 against, Civil Rights 2 for, 10 against, Election Integrity 10 for, 1 against,

Sources: apps.arizona.vote · azsos.gov