State Representative, District 16
July 21, 2026 · State House District 16; Arizona · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 24 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 261,084 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(275,769 ÷ 261,084) ÷ ln(275,769 ÷ 221,081) = 24.76, comparing state house districts in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Chris Lopez
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Chris Lopez is a Republican Arizona state representative for District 16. His campaign biography identifies him as a Casa Grande native and small-business owner, and an Arizona House release confirms his current legislative service.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, Environment and Public Health 1 for, Healthcare Affordability 1 for, Personal Income Tax Reduction 1 for, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 for
Julia Gusse
Democratic · declared
Julia Romero Gusse is a Democratic candidate for Arizona House District 16, a U.S. Air Force veteran, and a former Maricopa city councilmember. Her campaign biography describes a career supporting veterans and local communities.
Records: Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 for
Teresa Martinez
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Teresa Martinez is a Republican Arizona state representative for District 16. Her campaign and Arizona State Library biographies identify her as a Casa Grande native and former congressional and state political staff member; the state archive documents her Arizona House service since the 55th Legislature.
Records: Corporate Accountability 1 for, Election Integrity 1 for, Environment and Public Health 1 for, Government Efficiency 1 for, Healthcare Affordability 1 for, Housing Affordability 2 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 for
Election sources
Source: apps.arizona.vote
Source: azsos.gov