Legislative District 31 - State Representative Position 1
August 4, 2026 · Legislative (House) District 31; Washington · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 30 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 160,958 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(164,798 ÷ 160,958) ÷ ln(164,798 ÷ 152,644) = 30.77, comparing state house districts in WA (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Drew Stokesbary
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Drew Stokesbary is the Washington state representative for District 31, Position 1 and House Minority Leader. He is also an attorney and holds degrees from Duke University and Notre Dame Law School.
Records: Public Infrastructure 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 4 for
Stephen Szczurko-Walton
Democratic · declared
Stephen Szczurko-Walton is a U.S. Navy veteran and commercial HVAC technician. He served as a nuclear reactor operator from 2015 to 2024 and holds a bachelor's degree in political science and a Master of Public Administration.
Election sources
Source: sos.wa.gov