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State Representative

State House District 16; Alaska

My vote power

High

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

The State Representative general election in State House District 16; Alaska is on November 3, 2026. 3 candidates are running: Carolyn Hall (Registered Democrat), Liz Vazquez (Registered Republican), and Phil Isley (Undeclared). Carolyn Hall is the incumbent. One vote here carries high weight compared with other races.

How do we calculate my vote power?

What determines the vote power rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus whether more candidates are running than there are seats.

Representation: High · 67 out of 100

This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 18,434 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(735,706 ÷ 18,434) ÷ ln(50,000) = 67.04, measured against a statewide vote in AK (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Unknown

No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.

High representation → My vote power: High.

Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".

What does this office do?

  • Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
  • Voting on how much money your local public schools get
  • Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Who is running?

Registered Democrat · Incumbent

Carolyn Hall has served in the Alaska House since 2025, after working as Anchorage's communications director and serving on the city's Budget Advisory Commission. She lists public school funding, affordable housing and fixing the state's budget deficit among her priorities.

Records: Corporate Accountability 2 for, 1 against, Public Education Quality 3 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 3 for,

Registered Republican

Liz Vazquez is an Anchorage attorney who served in the Alaska House in 2015-2016 and has worked as an administrative law judge and assistant attorney general. She lists road, drainage and drinking-water repairs in West Anchorage and lower energy and freight costs as priorities.

Records: Government Efficiency 4 for, Election Integrity 3 for, Healthcare Affordability 1 for, 1 against,

Undeclared

Phil Isley is a retired aircraft mechanic and inspector who served 22 years in the Alaska Army National Guard, including as a commander. He lists cutting state overspending, protecting the PFD and state retirements, and crime and homelessness in Spenard as priorities.

Source: elections.alaska.gov

Last updated September 24, 2026.