State Representative
State House District 51; Florida
My vote power
High
Election date
August 18, 2026 · Primary election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 71 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 221,815 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(22,416,077 ÷ 221,815) ÷ ln(50,000) = 71.33, measured against a statewide vote in FL (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
High representation → My vote power: High.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Hilary Holley serves in the Florida House and has been executive director of the Florida FFA Foundation since 2021, after work as a legislative aide and agriculture education coordinator. She holds an agricultural education degree from the University of Florida.
Democratic · declared
Octavio Hernandez is a Democratic candidate for State Representative in State House District 51 (2024) in 2026.
Source: ballotpedia.org