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Governor and Lieutenant Governor

Pennsylvania

My vote power

Average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

Currently somewhat competitive
How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Average · 50 out of 100

This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 13,018,639 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(13,018,639 ÷ 13,018,639) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in PA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Average · rated somewhat competitive as of August 12, 2026

Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.

Show the decisiveness math

IE "Solid Democrat" (d=5) + Sabato "Likely Democratic" (d=4) → mean 4.5 → "somewhat competitive" after consensus guardrails → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)

Average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Average.

About this office

  • Signing or vetoing bills that become state law
  • Proposing the state budget for schools, roads, and health care
  • Picking who leads state agencies

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Democratic · Incumbent · declared

Josh Shapiro is the incumbent Democratic Governor of Pennsylvania, seeking a second term in the November 3, 2026 general election.

Records: Government Efficiency 4 for, Healthcare Affordability 3 for, Civil Rights 2 for,

Libertarian · declared

Ken Krawchuk is the Libertarian candidate for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2026. His ticket's lieutenant-governor candidate is John Thomas.

Records: Civil Rights 1 for

Republican · declared

Stacy Garrity is the Pennsylvania State Treasurer and the Republican nominee for Governor in the November 3, 2026 general election.

Records: Government Efficiency 5 for, Anti-Corruption 3 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 for, 1 against,

Sources: en.wikipedia.org2