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United States Representative, Congressional District 4

Congressional District 4 (119th Congress), Illinois

My vote power

Average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Above average · 63 out of 100

This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 729,797 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(12,694,798 ÷ 729,797) ÷ ln(50,000) = 63.2, measured against a statewide vote in IL (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026

Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections.

Show the decisiveness math

IE "Solid Democrat" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)

Above average representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Average.

The current race rating comes from a single analyst source, so it is less certain.

About this office

  • Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
  • Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
  • Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Independent · declared

Mayor of Lyons, with prior Lyons Township leadership roles and a career as a licensed insurance producer. His campaign highlights cost of living, immigration and public safety, and government accountability.

Records: Government Efficiency 5 for, Government Spending Reduction 3 for

Working Class Party · declared

Chicago educator and longtime union representative who has worked at Lindblom High School. He has advocated for higher wages, education funding and independent political organization for working people.

Records: Labor Rights 9 for, Social Programs and Welfare 6 for, Corporate Accountability 5 for,

Republican · declared

Chicago community volunteer and 22nd Ward Republican committeeperson, with prior campaigns for state and federal office. She has highlighted border security, energy production and support for law enforcement.

Records: Government Spending Reduction 7 for, Civil Rights 1 for, 4 against, Environment and Public Health 1 for, 2 against,

Democratic · declared

Congressional chief of staff and district director since 2023, with prior leadership roles at Latino civic organizations and a doctorate in education policy. Says immigration reform and affordable higher education are priorities.

Sources: fec.gov2