State Representative District 40A
August 11, 2026 · State House District 40A; Minnesota · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: High · 68 out of 100
Smaller districts give each vote more weight, and this district is small for its type. About 41,784 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(46,237 ÷ 41,784) ÷ ln(46,237 ÷ 39,882) = 68.49, comparing state house districts in MN (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
High representation + unknown decisiveness → High vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Aisha Elmquist
Democratic-Farmer-Labor · declared
Aisha Elmquist is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate for Minnesota House District 40A. She directs Minnesota's Olmstead Implementation Office and is a public-service lawyer with experience in disability-rights advocacy, health care, transportation, and employment policy.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for
Luis Withrow
Republican · declared
Luis Withrow is the Republican candidate for Minnesota House District 40A in the 2026 primary election.
Murwo S Mohamed
Democratic-Farmer-Labor · declared
Murwo S Mohamed is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate for Minnesota House District 40A in the 2026 primary election. She previously sought a Mounds View City Council seat in 2024.
Election sources
Source: candidates.sos.mn.gov
Source: sos.mn.gov