United States Senator
North Carolina
My vote power
Average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Average · 50 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 10,730,404 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(10,730,404 ÷ 10,730,404) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in NC (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Average · rated competitive as of August 19, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Tilt Democrat" (d=2) + Sabato "Leans Democratic" (d=3) → mean 2.5 → "competitive" → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Average.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Confirming federal judges and Supreme Court justices
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Green · declared
Michael Dublin is a North Carolina public-school educator, military veteran, and community activist. His campaign focuses on health care, public education, housing, climate policy, civil rights, and reducing military spending.
Republican · declared
Michael Whatley is an attorney and former chair of the Republican National Committee and North Carolina Republican Party. He previously served at the U.S. Department of Energy and as a U.S. Senate chief of staff.
Records: Civil Rights 1 against
Democratic · declared
Roy Cooper served as North Carolina governor from 2017 to 2025. He previously served as state attorney general for 16 years and as a member of the North Carolina House and Senate.
Records: Civil Rights 9 for, Social Programs and Welfare 9 for, Government Spending Reduction 8 against,
Libertarian · declared
Shannon W. Bray is a Navy veteran and technology entrepreneur who previously ran for U.S. Senate and statewide office. His campaign emphasizes privacy, cybersecurity, civil liberties, government accountability, and fiscal restraint.
Sources: en.wikipedia.org2