County Commissioner, District 4
Polk County, Florida
My vote power
Above average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 65 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 790,694 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(22,416,077 ÷ 790,694) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.46, measured against a statewide vote in FL (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Above average representation → My vote power: Above average.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Setting your property tax rate
- Funding county roads, parks, and public health services
- Setting land use and building rules outside city limits
Affects: Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health, Government Efficiency,
Candidates
Other · declared
Elisha Gresham is a write-in candidate for the Polk County (Florida) Board of County Commissioners, District 4, in the 2026 general election, opposing Republican nominee Omar Arroyo. She has not previously held elected office.
Republican · declared
Omar Arroyo is the Republican candidate for the open Polk County (Florida) Board of County Commissioners seat in District 4 in the 2026 general election. He previously served the City of Haines City as commissioner, vice mayor, and mayor, becoming the city's first Hispanic mayor.
Sources: polkelections.gov · lkldnow.com