County Commissioner, District 4
November 3, 2026 · Polk County, Florida · County · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 21 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 790,694 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(2,738,356 ÷ 790,694) ÷ ln(2,738,356 ÷ 7,687) = 21.14, comparing counties in FL (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
County Commissioner is responsible for:
- Passing county rules and the county budget
- Setting property tax rates that fund county services
- Overseeing county departments such as roads, parks, and public health
- Deciding land use in areas outside city limits
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Elisha Gresham
Unknown · declared
Elisha Gresham is a write-in candidate for the Polk County (Florida) Board of County Commissioners, District 4, in the 2026 general election, opposing Republican nominee Omar Arroyo. She has not previously held elected office.
Omar Arroyo
Republican · declared
Omar Arroyo is the Republican candidate for the open Polk County (Florida) Board of County Commissioners seat in District 4 in the 2026 general election. He previously served the City of Haines City as commissioner, vice mayor, and mayor, becoming the city's first Hispanic mayor.
Election sources
Source: polkelections.gov
Source: lkldnow.com