State Representative District 2
August 18, 2026 · State House District 2; Florida · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: High · 69 out of 100
Smaller districts give each vote more weight, and this district is small for its type. About 182,360 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(221,815 ÷ 182,360) ÷ ln(221,815 ÷ 167,065) = 69.1, comparing state house districts in FL (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
High representation + unknown decisiveness → High vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Jon Fay
Republican · declared
Jon Fay is a Republican candidate for Florida House District 2, a retired Navy commander and former Naval Flight Officer who served for 24 years, including as a congressional legislative fellow and executive officer of the Blue Angels. A Naval Academy graduate now working in commercial aviation-parts strategy, he campaigns on insurance affordability, infrastructure investment, lower taxes, law enforcement and public safety, economic growth, and support for active-duty military personnel and veterans.
Records: Corporate Accountability 1 for, Housing Affordability 1 for, Personal Income Tax Reduction 1 for, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 2 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 for
Trei McMullen
Republican · declared
Trei McMullen is a Republican candidate for Florida House District 2, an Army combat veteran, former paratrooper and senior counterintelligence agent, and founder of a Florida security and technology company. He holds graduate degrees in emergency management, homeland security, and global security and campaigns on school and community safety, policing and anti-trafficking work, small-business and job growth, hurricane-resilient infrastructure, affordable healthcare, and academic and career education.
Records: Government Efficiency 2 for, Healthcare Affordability 1 for, Public Education Quality 3 for, Public Infrastructure 2 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 5 for, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for
Election sources
Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com
Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com
Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com
Source: dos.fl.gov