Buckeye City Council, District 4
July 21, 2026 · Buckeye city, Arizona · City · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 21 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 104,923 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,642,323 ÷ 104,923) ÷ ln(1,642,323 ÷ 4) = 21.28, comparing cities and towns in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
City Council Member is responsible for:
- Passing city laws, called ordinances
- Approving the city budget
- Overseeing city departments and services
- Representing residents' concerns at city hall
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Government Efficiency, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Civil Rights, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
G. Patrick HagEstad
Nonpartisan · Incumbent · declared
G. Patrick HagEstad is the incumbent Buckeye City Council member for District 4, seeking reelection in 2026. He is an attorney and managing partner of the HagEstad Law Group, a multi-state practice.
Pamela Croff
Nonpartisan · declared
Pamela Croff is a 2026 candidate for the Buckeye City Council in District 4, challenging the incumbent in the July 21 primary.
Election sources
Source: buckeyeaz.gov
Source: azcleanelections.gov