Legislative District 10 - State Representative Position 2
August 4, 2026 · Legislative (House) District 10; Washington · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 38 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 160,060 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(164,798 ÷ 160,060) ÷ ln(164,798 ÷ 152,644) = 38.08, comparing state house districts in WA (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Carrie R. Kennedy
Republican · declared
Carrie R. Kennedy is an Oak Harbor-area administrative and management professional who has worked in military and civilian organizations, construction quality control, contracts, healthcare intake, developmental-disability administration, procurement, bookkeeping, and English teaching in Japan. She earned an associate degree from Monterey Peninsula College and also attended College of the Redwoods and Skagit Valley College. Kennedy previously ran for Congress in Washington's 2nd District in 2020 and 2022 and for Washington House District 10 Position 1 in 2024.
Dave Paul
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Dave Paul serves as Washington State Representative for District 10, Position 2. He chairs the House Postsecondary Education and Workforce Committee and serves on the Technology, Economic Development and Veterans and Transportation committees. Paul is an educator and community leader who worked at Skagit Valley College on financial aid and career pathways. He earned a bachelor's degree from Seattle University, a master's degree from Miami University in Ohio, and a doctorate from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.
Records: Housing Affordability 1 for, Public Education Quality 2 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 for
Tim Hazelo
Republican · declared
Tim Hazelo is a U.S. Navy veteran whose combined Navy and government-contracting career spans more than 38 years. His work included intelligence analysis, combat-simulation technology, Boeing 787 functional testing, and teaching aviation maintenance and manufacturing. He has also been a union steward, small-business owner, money manager, and budget consultant. Hazelo attended Skagit Valley College, Embry-Riddle, and Central Texas College and previously ran for Congress in 2020 and Island County commissioner in 2022.
Election sources
Source: sos.wa.gov