State House District 16
August 18, 2026 · State House District 16; Alaska · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 59 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 18,434 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(20,857 ÷ 18,434) ÷ ln(20,857 ÷ 16,940) = 59.37, comparing state house districts in AK (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Hall, Carolyn
Registered Democrat · Incumbent · declared
Carolyn Hall is the registered Democrat certified incumbent candidate for Alaska House District 16 in the 2026 primary. The Alaska Legislature identifies her as Representative Carolyn Hall, District 16, party Democrat, with 2025-2026 legislative service. Her legislative biography says she was elected to the Alaska State House in 2024, represents Turnagain, Spenard, and Sand Lake, and previously worked as a television news photojournalist, in government communications, as a business owner, and in Anchorage civic boards and commissions.
Records: Environment and Public Health 1 for, Healthcare Affordability 1 for, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 3 for, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 for
Isley, Phil
Undeclared · declared
Phil Isley is the undeclared certified candidate for Alaska House District 16 in the 2026 primary. The Alaska Division of Elections lists him as certified for House District 16 and provides his campaign mailing address, phone number, and email, but no campaign website.
Vazquez, Liz
Registered Republican · declared
Liz Vazquez is the registered Republican certified candidate for Alaska House District 16 in the 2026 primary. The Alaska Division of Elections lists her as certified for House District 16. The Alaska Legislature identifies her as Representative Liz Vazquez, District 22, party Republican, with 2015-2016 legislative service; her legislative biography lists work as an attorney, administrative law judge, assistant attorney general and prosecutor, and Chugach Electric board chair and director.
Records: Anti-Corruption 1 for, Government Efficiency 1 for, Healthcare Affordability 4 for, Public Education Quality 2 for
Election sources
Source: elections.alaska.gov