Tennessee Senate District 15
State Senate District 15; Tennessee
My vote power
Below average
Election date
August 6, 2026 · Primary election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 66 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 213,126 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,066,383 ÷ 213,126) ÷ ln(50,000) = 66.18, measured against a statewide vote in TN (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: None · only 1 candidate
One candidate is running unopposed, so votes can't change the outcome.
High representation + an uncontested race → My vote power: Below average.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Paul Bailey is a Christian trucking businessman and small farmer from Sparta, born in 1968, who attended Tennessee Tech University. He chairs the Senate Commerce and Labor Committee and serves on Fiscal Review.
Records: Public Safety and Crime Control 9 for, 1 against, Corporate Accountability 5 for, 1 against, Civil Rights 2 for, 3 against,
Sources: putnamcountytn.gov23