State Representative, District 49
State House District 49; Texas
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 73 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 200,815 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(30,188,424 ÷ 200,815) ÷ ln(50,000) = 73.17, measured against a statewide vote in TX (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
High representation → My vote power: High.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Green · declared
Arshia Papari is a University of Texas at Austin student and community organizer. His work has included education-policy advocacy and public testimony.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for
Democratic · declared
Montserrat Garibay is a former Austin ISD pre-K teacher, labor leader, former U.S. Department of Education official, and Democratic nominee for Texas House District 49. She previously served as an assistant deputy secretary at the Department of Education.
Records: Housing Affordability 2 for, Civil Rights 1 for
Sources: sos.state.tx.us23