US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DISTRICT 03
November 3, 2026 · Congressional District 3 (119th Congress), North Carolina · U.S. House district · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 47 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 760,895 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,021,191 ÷ 760,895) ÷ ln(1,021,191 ÷ 546,488) = 47.06, comparing all US House districts nationwide (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
United States Representative is responsible for:
- Voting on federal laws, taxes, and the federal budget
- Representing their district's interests in Congress
- Starting tax and spending bills, which must begin in the House
- Helping district residents deal with federal agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Immigration, Government Spending Reduction, Social Programs and Welfare, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, National Defense, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Foreign Trade, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure, Peaceful Foreign Policy
Candidates
Daniel Cavender
LIB · declared
Daniel Cavender is the Libertarian candidate for North Carolina Congressional District 3 in the November 3, 2026 general election.
Greg Murphy
REP · Incumbent · declared
Greg Murphy is a Republican candidate for North Carolina Congressional District 3 and the incumbent U.S. representative for the district.
Records: Healthcare Affordability 3 for, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for
Raymond Smith
DEM · declared
Raymond Smith is the Democratic candidate for North Carolina Congressional District 3 in the November 3, 2026 general election.
Election sources
Source: ncsbe.gov
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Source: s3.amazonaws.com