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Governor

Idaho

My vote power

Below average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Average · 50 out of 100

This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 1,934,262 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(1,934,262 ÷ 1,934,262) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in ID (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 12, 2026

Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.

Show the decisiveness math

IE "Solid Republican" (d=5) + Sabato "Safe Republican" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)

Average representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Below average.

About this office

  • Signing or vetoing bills that become state law
  • Proposing the state budget for schools, roads, and health care
  • Picking who leads state agencies

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Republican · Incumbent · declared

Incumbent Republican Governor of Idaho (since 2019), seeking a third term in 2026. Former Lieutenant Governor and state senator.

Records: Government Spending Reduction 3 for, Government Efficiency 2 for, Anti-Corruption 1 for,

Independent · declared

Jacob Burnett is an independent write-in candidate for Governor of Idaho in the 2026 general election.

Records: Corporate Accountability 1 for

Independent · declared

Independent nominee for statewide office in Idaho in the 2026 general election.

Records: Women's Reproductive Rights 2 for, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 for

Libertarian · declared

Libertarian nominee for statewide office in Idaho in the 2026 general election.

Constitution · declared

Constitution nominee for statewide office in Idaho in the 2026 general election.

Records: AI Regulation 1 for, Data Privacy 1 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 for,

Democratic · declared

Democratic nominee for statewide office in Idaho in the 2026 general election.

Records: Public Education Quality 1 for, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 for

Sources: en.wikipedia.org · thegreenpapers.com