United States Representative, Congressional District 2
Congressional District 2 (119th Congress), Maryland
My vote power
Below average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 59 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 771,118 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(6,206,011 ÷ 771,118) ÷ ln(50,000) = 59.64, measured against a statewide vote in MD (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Solid Democrat" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade normal, not competitive grades low)
Normal representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Below average.
The current race rating comes from a single analyst source, so it is less certain.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · declared
Dave Wallace is a Maryland native, Salisbury University biology graduate, and former National Institutes of Health immunological therapy researcher.
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
John "Johnny O" Olszewski, Jr. is the U.S. Representative for Maryland’s 2nd Congressional District. He is a former public-school teacher, Maryland state delegate, and Baltimore County Executive.
Records: Environment and Public Health 24 for, Corporate Accountability 4 for, Civil Rights 3 for,