Member of the State Assembly, District 48
Assembly District 48; California
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 70 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 467,036 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 467,036) ÷ ln(50,000) = 70.48, measured against a statewide vote in CA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
High representation → My vote power: High.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Blanca E. Rubio is a Democratic member of the California State Assembly for District 48 (San Gabriel Valley — Baldwin Park/West Covina), first elected in 2016. A former teacher and school-district trustee, she authored 2024 legislation on special-education transition services.
Records: Environment and Public Health 17 for, Civil Rights 16 for, Corporate Accountability 13 for,
Republican · declared
Dan Tran is the Republican nominee for California's 48th State Assembly District (San Gabriel Valley) in the 2026 general election, challenging Democratic incumbent Blanca Rubio after also running in 2024. A real-estate professional and son of refugees, he has not previously held elected office.
Source: ballotpedia.org