State Senator - District No. 16
State Senate District 16; Arizona
My vote power
Normal
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 65 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 261,084 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 261,084) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.44, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Normal representation → My vote power: Normal.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Democratic · declared
Elaine Aldrete is a Tucson-area nonprofit founder, former corporate staffing manager, author, and community volunteer. She founded Teaching Life Choices, serves on the elected Drexel Heights Fire District Governing Board, and has held volunteer leadership and campaign-finance roles in Arizona Democratic organizations and campaigns.
Records: Public Education Quality 1 for
Republican · Incumbent · declared
T.J. Shope is a small business owner and resident of Coolidge who has served as Senator since 2021 and is Senate President Pro Tempore. Born in Florence, he graduated from Coolidge High School and Central Arizona College, where he was inducted into the CAC Wall of Success.
Records: Public Safety and Crime Control 13 for, 2 against, Civil Rights 2 for, 12 against, Environment and Public Health 3 for, 9 against,
Sources: apps.arizona.vote · azsos.gov