State Representative
State House District 38; Arkansas
My vote power
Below average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 71 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 31,614 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(3,049,391 ÷ 31,614) ÷ ln(50,000) = 71.11, measured against a statewide vote in AR (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: None · only 1 candidate
One candidate is running unopposed, so votes can't change the outcome.
High representation + an uncontested race → My vote power: Below average.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Dwight Tosh serves in the Arkansas House and is a retired Arkansas State Police captain. He belongs to the Jonesboro Chamber of Commerce and the Arkansas State Police Association.
Records: Election Integrity 9 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 5 for, Civil Rights 4 against,
Source: ballotpedia.org