United States Representative, Congressional District 10
Congressional District 10 (119th Congress), Pennsylvania
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 63 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 779,640 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(13,018,639 ÷ 779,640) ÷ ln(50,000) = 63.01, measured against a statewide vote in PA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: High · rated toss-up as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race very close — a small number of votes could decide the winner. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Toss-up" (d=0) + Sabato "Toss-up" (d=0) → mean 0 → "toss-up" → grade high (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Above average representation + high decisiveness → My vote power: High.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Democratic · declared
Janelle Stelson is a former television news anchor and reporter who covered central Pennsylvania for more than three decades. She has not held elected or appointed public office.
Records: Women's Reproductive Rights 1 for
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Scott Perry has served in the U.S. House since 2013 and previously served three terms in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. He retired from the U.S. Army as a brigadier general in 2019 after nearly 40 years of service.
Records: Environment and Public Health 1 for, 73 against, Immigration 30 against, Corporate Accountability 1 for, 15 against,