United States Representative
Congressional District 5 (119th Congress), Oklahoma
My vote power
Average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 57 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 812,252 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(4,028,634 ÷ 812,252) ÷ ln(50,000) = 57.4, measured against a statewide vote in OK (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Solid Republican" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Above average representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Average.
The current race rating comes from a single analyst source, so it is less certain.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Independent · declared
Austin Nieves is an Oklahoma City accountant and businessman. He holds a business degree and an MBA from the University of Central Oklahoma, where he has served as an adjunct instructor.
Democratic · declared
Jena Nelson is an Oklahoma public school educator who was named the state's 2020 Teacher of the Year.
Independent · declared
Robert P. Henri is an Edmond cannabis businessman and former lab technician. He runs on a platform he calls Project Due Course, aimed at forcing votes on popular reforms and greater congressional accountability.
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Stephanie Bice has represented central Oklahoma in Congress since 2021 and was the first American of Iranian descent elected to Congress. She previously served in the Oklahoma Senate.
Records: Environment and Public Health 5 for, 71 against, Immigration 31 against, Government Spending Reduction 6 for, 15 against,
Source: ballotpedia.org