Member of the State Assembly, District 77
November 3, 2026 · Assembly District 77; California · State house district · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 32 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 505,968 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(531,388 ÷ 505,968) ÷ ln(531,388 ÷ 457,211) = 32.6, comparing state house districts in CA (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Tasha Boerner Horvath
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Tasha Boerner is a Democratic member of the California State Assembly for District 77 (coastal San Diego County), first elected in 2018. A businesswoman and former Encinitas city councilmember and deputy mayor, she authored a 2024 e-bike child-safety law.
Records: Public Safety and Crime Control 1 for
Trinity Hannaway
Republican · declared
Trinity Hannaway is the Republican nominee for California's 77th State Assembly District (coastal San Diego County) in the 2026 general election, challenging Democratic incumbent Tasha Boerner. Executive director of the Reform California PAC and a former legislative outreach staffer, she has not previously held elected office.
Election sources
Source: ballotpedia.org