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Governor

Texas

My vote power

Average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

Currently somewhat competitive
How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Average · 50 out of 100

This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 30,188,424 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(30,188,424 ÷ 30,188,424) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in TX (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Average · rated somewhat competitive as of August 12, 2026

Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.

Show the decisiveness math

IE "Likely Republican" (d=4) + Sabato "Safe Republican" (d=5) → mean 4.5 → "somewhat competitive" after consensus guardrails → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)

Average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Average.

About this office

  • Signing or vetoing bills that become state law
  • Proposing the state budget for schools, roads, and health care
  • Picking who leads state agencies

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Independent · declared

Edward Earl Giles is listed by the Texas Secretary of State with an occupation of U.S. Army retired/care provider.

Democratic · declared

Gina Hinojosa is a civil rights and labor lawyer who has represented central Austin in the Texas House since 2017. She served on the Austin ISD school board from 2012, including as its president, and holds degrees from UT-Austin and George Washington University.

Records: Civil Rights 3 for, Corporate Accountability 2 for, Environment and Public Health 2 for,

Republican · Incumbent · declared

Greg Abbott has been governor of Texas since 2015, after 13 years as attorney general and five as a justice of the Texas Supreme Court. Paralyzed in a 1984 accident, he is the first Texas governor to use a wheelchair.

Records: Government Efficiency 1 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 against, Public Education Quality 1 for,

Independent · declared

Jenn Mack is listed by the Texas Secretary of State as a declared Governor write-in candidate.

Independent · declared

Jinghpaw Majoishingra is listed by the Texas Secretary of State with an occupation of taxi driver.

Independent · declared

Mike Miller is listed by the Texas Secretary of State with an occupation in cyber security.

Libertarian · declared

Pat Dixon is the Libertarian candidate for Governor of Texas in the 2026 general election and a former Lago Vista city council member.

Sources: sos.state.tx.us2