State Senator - District No. 15
State Senate District 15; Arizona
My vote power
Normal
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 65 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 266,581 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 266,581) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.35, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Normal representation → My vote power: Normal.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Jake Hoffman is an Arizona state senator and technology, marketing, and communications executive from Queen Creek. Before joining the Legislature, he served on the Higley school board and Queen Creek Town Council. He served in the Arizona House before beginning Senate service in District 15 in 2023.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, 11 against, Election Integrity 8 for, 3 against, Environment and Public Health 1 for, 9 against,
Democratic · declared
Jayme Accalia argues Arizona is growing fast and many families feel left behind by rising housing costs, overcrowded classrooms and water concerns. She campaigns for stronger schools, healthier communities and an economy that works for working families.
Records: Anti-Corruption 1 for
Sources: apps.arizona.vote · azsos.gov