Member of the Assembly, District 13
November 3, 2026 · Assembly District 13; New York · State house district · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 52 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 128,255 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(147,825 ÷ 128,255) ÷ ln(147,825 ÷ 112,820) = 52.55, comparing state house districts in NY (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: None · only 1 candidate
One candidate is running unopposed, so votes can't change the outcome.
Average representation + an uncontested race → Below average vote impact.
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Conner Dunleavy
Republican · declared
Conner Dunleavy is the Republican candidate for the New York State Assembly, District 13, on the November 3, 2026 general election ballot.
Election sources
Source: elections.ny.gov
Source: elections.ny.gov