City of Flagstaff Proposition 404
November 3, 2026 · Flagstaff city, Arizona · City
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 23 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 76,445 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,642,323 ÷ 76,445) ÷ ln(1,642,323 ÷ 4) = 23.73, comparing cities and towns in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Ballot measure: +1 step
Your vote sets the policy directly, so the rating gets a one-step boost.
Low representation + a ballot-measure boost → Average vote impact.
Ballot Measure
Cost of Living Reduction (against), Public Safety and Crime Control (for)
This measure would raise Flagstaff's transaction privilege tax, commonly called a sales tax, by 0.5 percentage points for 15 years. The revenue would be dedicated to public-safety services from July 1, 2027, through June 30, 2042.
A YES vote means
A yes vote raises the city sales-tax rate by 0.5 percentage points for 15 years and dedicates the added revenue to public-safety services.
A NO vote means
A no vote rejects the proposed 0.5-percentage-point city sales-tax increase, so this dedicated public-safety revenue would not be created.
Read the official measure text
Election sources
Source: flagstaff.az.gov