U.S. Representative, Arizona's 9th Congressional District
July 21, 2026 · Congressional District 9 (119th Congress), Arizona · U.S. House district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 26 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 863,227 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,021,191 ÷ 863,227) ÷ ln(1,021,191 ÷ 546,488) = 26.88, comparing all US House districts nationwide (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
United States Representative is responsible for:
- Voting on federal laws, taxes, and the federal budget
- Representing their district's interests in Congress
- Starting tax and spending bills, which must begin in the House
- Helping district residents deal with federal agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Immigration, Government Spending Reduction, Social Programs and Welfare, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, National Defense, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Foreign Trade, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure, Peaceful Foreign Policy
Candidates
Danielle Sterbinsky
Democratic · declared
Danielle Sterbinsky is a Democratic candidate in the August 4, 2026 primary for U.S. Representative for Arizona's 9th Congressional District.
Paul Gosar
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Paul Gosar is a Republican candidate in the August 4, 2026 primary for U.S. Representative for Arizona's 9th Congressional District.
Records: Anti-Corruption 1 for, Government Efficiency 1 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 for, Immigration 1 for, National Defense 2 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Election sources
Source: en.wikipedia.org
Source: ballotpedia.org
Source: apps.arizona.vote