United States Representative, Congressional District 1
Congressional District 1 (119th Congress), California
My vote power
Average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 68 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 760,971 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 760,971) ÷ ln(50,000) = 68.23, measured against a statewide vote in CA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Solid Democrat" (d=5) + Sabato "Safe Democratic" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
High representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Average.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
James Gallagher represents California's 1st Congressional District. He previously served in the California State Assembly, including as minority leader, and on the Sutter County Board of Supervisors.
Records: Government Efficiency 6 for, Data Privacy 2 for, 1 against, Environment and Public Health 1 for, 2 against,
Democratic · declared
Mike McGuire represents California State Senate District 2. He was elected to the Senate in 2014, previously served as Senate president pro tempore, and served in local elected offices before joining the Legislature.
Records: Environment and Public Health 2 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 against, Healthcare Affordability 1 for,