State Representative, House District 30
August 18, 2026 · State House District 30; Alaska · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: High · 70 out of 100
Smaller districts give each vote more weight, and this district is small for its type. About 18,002 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(20,857 ÷ 18,002) ÷ ln(20,857 ÷ 16,940) = 70.77, comparing state house districts in AK (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
High representation + unknown decisiveness → High vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Doug Massie
Nonpartisan · declared
Doug Massie is a retired director of the Alaska Wildlife Troopers and candidate for Alaska State House District 30 in 2026. He retired in 2022 after 25 years with the agency, including more than three years leading the division, and previously ran for Alaska Senate District O.
Doyle E. Holmes
Nonpartisan · declared
Doyle E. Holmes is a Willow businessman and former Matanuska-Susitna Borough Assembly member and deputy mayor running for Alaska State House District 30 in 2026. He served 11 years on the Assembly, including three years as deputy mayor, and has repeatedly run for this House seat.
Kevin J. McCabe
Nonpartisan · Incumbent · declared
Kevin J. McCabe is the incumbent Alaska state representative for House District 30 and has served in the House since 2021. A retired U.S. Coast Guard member and commercial pilot, he holds a bachelor's degree from Embry-Riddle and an MBA from Regis University.
Mike Alexander
Nonpartisan · declared
Mike Alexander is a Big Lake candidate for Alaska State House District 30 in the 2026 nonpartisan primary. Current state campaign-finance and election-tracking records identify him as a registered Republican candidate in the five-person contest.
Sandra D. Loomis
Nonpartisan · declared
Sandra D. Loomis is a Talkeetna candidate for Alaska State House District 30 in the 2026 nonpartisan primary. Current state campaign-finance and election-tracking records identify her as the Democratic-registered candidate in the five-person contest.
Election sources
Source: elections.alaska.gov
Source: elections.alaska.gov