State Representative, House District 30
State House District 30; Alaska
My vote power
High
Election date
August 18, 2026 · Primary election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 67 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 18,002 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(735,706 ÷ 18,002) ÷ ln(50,000) = 67.15, measured against a statewide vote in AK (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
High representation → My vote power: High.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Nonpartisan · declared
Doug Massie is a retired director of the Alaska Wildlife Troopers and candidate for Alaska State House District 30 in 2026. He retired in 2022 after 25 years with the agency, including more than three years leading the division, and previously ran for Alaska Senate District O.
Nonpartisan · declared
Doyle E. Holmes is a Willow businessman and former Matanuska-Susitna Borough Assembly member and deputy mayor running for Alaska State House District 30 in 2026. He served 11 years on the Assembly, including three years as deputy mayor, and has repeatedly run for this House seat.
Records: Election Integrity 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Nonpartisan · Incumbent · declared
Kevin J. McCabe is the incumbent Alaska state representative for House District 30 and has served in the House since 2021. A retired U.S. Coast Guard member and commercial pilot, he holds a bachelor's degree from Embry-Riddle and an MBA from Regis University.
Records: Government Spending Reduction 5 for, Public Education Quality 2 for, 3 against, Corporate Accountability 2 for,
Nonpartisan · declared
Mike Alexander is a Big Lake candidate for Alaska State House District 30 in the 2026 nonpartisan primary. Current state campaign-finance and election-tracking records identify him as a registered Republican candidate in the five-person contest.
Nonpartisan · declared
Sandra D. Loomis is a Talkeetna candidate for Alaska State House District 30 in the 2026 nonpartisan primary. Current state campaign-finance and election-tracking records identify her as the Democratic-registered candidate in the five-person contest.
Sources: elections.alaska.gov2