US House of Representatives District 1
Congressional District 1 (119th Congress), North Carolina
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 62 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 747,584 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(10,730,404 ÷ 747,584) ÷ ln(50,000) = 62.31, measured against a statewide vote in NC (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: High · rated very competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race very close — a small number of votes could decide the winner. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Lean Republican" (d=3) + Sabato "Toss-up" (d=0) → mean 1.5 → "very competitive" → grade high (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade normal, not competitive grades low)
Normal representation + high decisiveness → My vote power: High.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Don Davis has represented eastern North Carolina in Congress since 2023, after about 12 years in the state Senate and election as mayor of Snow Hill at 29. An Air Force Academy graduate who served eight years, he taught for two decades at East Carolina University.
Records: Environment and Public Health 33 for, 42 against, Immigration 2 for, 22 against, Government Spending Reduction 14 against,
Republican · declared
Laurie Buckhout is a retired U.S. Army colonel with 26 years of service who commanded an 800-person battalion task force in Iraq and finished as the Army's chief of electronic warfare. She founded the defense firm Corvus Consulting and held a Pentagon cyber policy post in 2025.