United States Senator
Nebraska
My vote power
Normal
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 50 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 1,978,707 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(1,978,707 ÷ 1,978,707) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in NE (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Normal · rated somewhat competitive as of August 19, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Likely Republican" (d=4) + Sabato "Likely Republican" (d=4) → mean 4 → "somewhat competitive" → grade normal (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade normal, not competitive grades low)
Normal representation + normal decisiveness → My vote power: Normal.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Confirming federal judges and Supreme Court justices
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Independent · declared
Dan Osborn is an independent U.S. Senate candidate, industrial mechanic, Navy and National Guard veteran, and former president of BCTGM Local 50G. He led the 2021 Kellogg's strike in Omaha.
Records: Corporate Accountability 1 for, Labor Rights 1 for
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator for Nebraska, appointed in 2023 and won a 2024 special election; seeking a full six-year term in 2026. Former Governor of Nebraska (2015-2023).
Records: Environment and Public Health 28 against, Corporate Accountability 1 for, 6 against, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for, 4 against,
Sources: en.wikipedia.org · thegreenpapers.com