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For Representative to Congress (1st District)

Congressional District 1 (119th Congress), Ohio

My vote power

Above average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

Currently competitive
How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Above average · 62 out of 100

This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 794,614 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(11,810,293 ÷ 794,614) ÷ ln(50,000) = 62.47, measured against a statewide vote in OH (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Average · rated competitive as of August 20, 2026

Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.

Show the decisiveness math

IE "Tilt Democrat" (d=2) + Sabato "Leans Democratic" (d=3) → mean 2.5 → "competitive" → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)

Above average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Above average.

About this office

  • Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
  • Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
  • Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Republican · declared

Eric Conroy is a U.S. Air Force veteran and former CIA case officer with postings in Afghanistan, Poland, and Iraq. He was raised on Cincinnati's west side.

Democratic · Incumbent · declared

Greg Landsman has represented Cincinnati and its suburbs in Congress since 2023 and served on Cincinnati City Council from 2018 to 2022. A former public school teacher, he led the Preschool Promise initiative expanding preschool access in the city.

Records: Environment and Public Health 58 for, 6 against, Immigration 5 for, 13 against, Corporate Accountability 10 for, 1 against,

Libertarian · declared

Nathan Weise is the Libertarian candidate for U.S. House in Ohio's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 general election.

Sources: wnewsj.com · ohiocapitaljournal.com