County Judge
November 3, 2026 · Guadalupe County, Texas · County · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 27 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 183,642 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(4,838,303 ÷ 183,642) ÷ ln(4,838,303 ÷ 33) = 27.5, comparing counties in TX (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: None · only 1 candidate
One candidate is running unopposed, so votes can't change the outcome.
Low representation + an uncontested race → Very low vote impact.
County Executive is responsible for:
- Running county government day to day, like a mayor for the county
- Proposing the county budget
- Overseeing county departments and hiring their leaders
- Hearing certain court cases in some Texas counties, where this office is called County Judge or County Judge/Executive
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Michael R. Carpenter
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Michael R. Carpenter is a Republican incumbent County Judge for Guadalupe County, Texas, seeking re-election in 2026.
Election sources
Source: ballotpedia.org