State Senator - District No. 15
July 21, 2026 · State Senate District 15; Arizona · State senate district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 15 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 266,581 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(275,769 ÷ 266,581) ÷ ln(275,769 ÷ 221,081) = 15.33, comparing state senate districts in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
State Senator is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the state senate
- Confirming certain governor appointments in many states
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Jake Hoffman
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Jake Hoffman is an Arizona state senator and technology, marketing, and communications executive from Queen Creek. Before joining the Legislature, he served on the Higley school board and Queen Creek Town Council. He served in the Arizona House before beginning Senate service in District 15 in 2023.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, Government Efficiency 2 for
Jayme Accalia
Democrat · declared
Jayme Accalia is an Arizona culinary educator and sustainable-food-systems professional. She has taught culinary arts in a public school district and at Central Arizona College, earned a bachelor's degree in sustainable food systems from Arizona State University, and has participated in youth and community volunteer organizations.
Records: Corporate Accountability 2 for, Public Education Quality 2 for
Election sources
Source: azsos.gov
Source: azsos.gov