State Representative - District No. 17
State House District 17; Arizona
My vote power
Above average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election · 2 seats
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 65 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 249,296 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 249,296) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.66, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Above average representation → My vote power: Above average.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
A business-management graduate, former business executive, and former teacher, Keshel serves as vice chair of the House Federalism, Military Affairs and Elections Committee. She emphasizes border security, election administration, parental rights, and tax relief.
Records: Election Integrity 2 for, 1 against, Civil Rights 1 against, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 against
Democratic · declared
A retired U.S. Air Force colonel and former educator, Lyon served as a Judicial Nominating Commissioner and has worked as an IT consultant. She focuses on affordability, water security, public education, health care, and small-business development.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, Government Efficiency 1 for
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
A Southern Arizona business owner and former teacher, Volk works on commercial and affordable-housing development. He focuses on lowering living costs, education, water security, public safety, and wildfire preparedness.
Records: Government Spending Reduction 1 against, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 for
Republican · declared
A lifelong Tucsonan, Winchester is senior director of government and community engagement at Arizona State University and a former nonprofit executive. He emphasizes education, public safety, infrastructure, and job creation.
Source: apps.arizona.vote