State Representative
July 21, 2026 · State House District 9; Arizona · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: High · 69 out of 100
Smaller districts give each vote more weight, and this district is small for its type. About 236,406 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(275,769 ÷ 236,406) ÷ ln(275,769 ÷ 221,081) = 69.68, comparing state house districts in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
High representation + unknown decisiveness → High vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Bradley Bettencourt
Republican · declared
Bradley Bettencourt is a Republican candidate for State Representative in State House District 9 (2024) in 2026.
Jacob Martinez
Democratic · declared
Jacob Martinez is a Democratic candidate for State Representative in State House District 9 (2024) in 2026.
Lorena Austin
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Lorena Austin is a Democratic incumbent State Representative for State House District 9 (2024), seeking re-election in 2026.
Sage Stroh
Republican · declared
Sage Stroh is a Republican candidate for State Representative in State House District 9 (2024) in 2026.
Election sources
Source: ballotpedia.org