Governor
Oregon
My vote power
Normal
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 50 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 4,254,293 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(4,254,293 ÷ 4,254,293) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in OR (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Normal · rated somewhat competitive as of August 12, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Lean Democrat" (d=3) + Sabato "Likely Democratic" (d=4) → mean 3.5 → "somewhat competitive" → grade normal (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade normal, not competitive grades low)
Normal representation + normal decisiveness → My vote power: Normal.
About this office
- Signing or vetoing bills that become state law
- Proposing the state budget for schools, roads, and health care
- Picking who leads state agencies
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Pacific Green · declared
Brett Smith is the Pacific Green Party candidate for Governor of Oregon in 2026. He is a Molalla resident and cites corruption, sustainability, and the future as top issues.
Republican · declared
Christine Drazan is a Republican member of the Oregon State Senate (District 26) and the 2026 Republican nominee for governor. She previously served as Oregon House Minority Leader and was the Republican nominee for governor in 2022.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, 2 against, Environment and Public Health 3 against, Healthcare Affordability 3 for,
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Tina Kotek is the Democratic Governor of Oregon, in office since January 2023 and seeking a second term in 2026. She previously served as Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives.
Records: Housing Affordability 2 for, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for, Environment and Public Health 1 for,
Source: en.wikipedia.org