United States Representative, Congressional District 45
Congressional District 45 (119th Congress), California
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 68 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 748,896 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 748,896) ÷ ln(50,000) = 68.3, measured against a statewide vote in CA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Average · rated competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Lean Democrat" (d=3) + Sabato "Leans Democratic" (d=3) → mean 3 → "competitive" → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
High representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: High.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · declared
Former Cerritos mayor and City Councilmember, and a retired 28-year law-enforcement officer. He also served on the California Joint Powers Insurance Authority executive board and emphasizes public safety, city services, and fiscal responsibility.
Records: Government Efficiency 1 against
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
U.S. Representative for California's 45th District. A lawyer, business owner, and U.S. Army veteran, he serves on the House Armed Services and Small Business Committees and focuses on national security, consumer protections, and small-business capital access.
Records: Environment and Public Health 39 for, 4 against, Corporate Accountability 6 for, 1 against, Government Efficiency 7 for,