County Commissioner 4
August 18, 2026 · Orange County, Florida · County · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 10 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 1,471,937 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(2,738,356 ÷ 1,471,937) ÷ ln(2,738,356 ÷ 7,687) = 10.57, comparing counties in FL (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
County Commissioner is responsible for:
- Passing county rules and the county budget
- Setting property tax rates that fund county services
- Overseeing county departments such as roads, parks, and public health
- Deciding land use in areas outside city limits
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Brian Jones
Nonpartisan · declared
Brian Jones is a qualified nonpartisan candidate for Orange County Commissioner District 4. Orange County's official candidate record documents campaign filings and, where supplied, the candidate's statement and background.
Isabella Arthur
Nonpartisan · declared
Isabella Arthur is a qualified write-in candidate for Orange County Commissioner District 4. Orange County's official candidate record documents campaign filings and, where supplied, the candidate's statement and background.
Johanna Lopez
Nonpartisan · declared
Johanna Lopez is a Florida state representative, former Orange County School Board member, and qualified candidate for Orange County Commissioner District 4.
Election sources
Source: ocfelections.gov
Source: voterfocus.com