US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DISTRICT 11
Congressional District 11 (119th Congress), North Carolina
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 62 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 758,211 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(10,730,404 ÷ 758,211) ÷ ln(50,000) = 62.25, measured against a statewide vote in NC (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: High · rated very competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race very close — a small number of votes could decide the winner. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Lean Republican" (d=3) + Sabato "Toss-up" (d=0) → mean 1.5 → "very competitive" → grade high (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Above average representation + high decisiveness → My vote power: High.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Democratic · declared
Jamie Ager is a Democratic candidate for North Carolina Congressional District 11 and describes himself as a farmer and sustainable meat company operator from Fairview.
Republican · declared
Jennifer Capps Balkcom is a Republican North Carolina State Representative for District 117 and the Republican nominee for U.S. House in North Carolina's 11th District. She is a mortgage loan officer and has served in the General Assembly since 2023.
Libertarian · declared
Travis Groo is a Libertarian candidate for North Carolina Congressional District 11.
Sources: ncsbe.gov · s3.amazonaws.com2